Monleon, VH, Lintz, HE. 2015. Evidence of tree species’ range shifts in a complex landscape., PLoS One, 2015 Jan 29;10(1), doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118069.

Mera, R., N. Massey, M. Allen, P. Mote, D. E. Rupp, P. C. Frumhoff. 2015. Climate change, climate justice, and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley, Climatic Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1474-3.

Li, S., P. W. Mote, D. E. Rupp, D. Vickers, R. Mera, M. R. Allen. 2015. Evaluation of a regional climate modeling effort for the western United States using a superensemble from weather@home, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00808.1.

Vano, J. A., J. B. Kim, D. E. Rupp, P. W. Mote. 2015. Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities, Geophysical Research Letters (42), doi: 10.1002/2015GL063208.

Vano, J. A., B. Nijssen, and D. P. Lettenmaier (2015), Seasonal hydrologic responses to climate change in the Pacific Northwest, Water Resour. Res., 51, 1959–1976, doi:10.1002/2014WR015909.

Mote, P. W., M. R. Allen, R. G. Jones, S. Li, R. Mera, D. E. Rupp, A. Salahuddin, D. Vickers. 2015. Superensemble regional climate modeling for the western US, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00090.1.

Rupp, D. E., S. Li., N. Massey, S. N. Sparrow, P. W. Mote, M. R. Allen. 2015. Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011, Geophysical Research Letters (42), 2392-2400, doi: 10.1002/2014GL062683.


Abatzoglou, J. T., D. E. Rupp, P. W. Mote. 2014. Questionable evidence of natural warming of the northwestern United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA (111), E5605-E5606, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1421311112.

Nijhuis, M., 2014, When The Snows Fail, National Geographic Magazine, October, 58-77, Philip Mote and Darrin Sharp contributed snowpack trend data to the article.

Abatzoglou, J. T., D. E. Rupp, P. W. Mote. 2014. Seasonal climate variability and change in the Pacific Northwest of the United States. Journal of Climate, (27), 2125-2142, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00218.1.

Vano, J.A., B. Udall, D.R. Cayan, J.T. Overpeck, L.D. Brekke, T. Das, H.C. Hartmann, H.G. Hidalgo, M. Hoerling, G.J. McCabe, K. Morino, R.S. Webb, K. Werner, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2014: Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 59-78, 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00228.1.

Vano, J.A. and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2014:  A sensitivity-based approach to evaluating future changes in Colorado River Discharge, Climatic Change,122:4, 621-634, doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1023-x

Mote, P., A.K. Snover, S. Capalbo, S.D. Eigenbrode, P. Glick, J. Littell, R. Raymondi, and S. Reeder, 2014: Ch. 21: Northwest. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 495-521.


Dalton, M., P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover, eds., 2013: Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. 224 pp. Island Press.

Dalton, M.M, Shell, K.M., 2013, Comparison of Short-Term and Long-Term Radiative Feedbacks and Variability in Twentieth-Century Global Climate Model Simulations, J. Climate, 26, 10051–10070, doi:

Moss, R.H., G. A. Meehl, M. C. Lemos, J. B. Smith, J. R. Arnold, J. C. Arnott, D. Behar, G. P. Brasseur, S. B. Broomell, A. J. Busalacchi, S. Dessai, K. L. Ebi, J. A. Edmonds, J. Furlow, L. Goddard, H. C. Hartmann, J. W. Hurrell, J. W. Katzenberger, D. M. Liverman, P. W. Mote, S. C. Moser, A. Kumar, R. S. Pulwarty, E. A. Seyller, B. L. Turner II, W. M. Washington, and T. J. Wilbanks, Hell and High Water: Practice-Relevant Adaptation Science, Science 8 November 2013: 342 (6159), 696-698. [DOI:10.1126/science.1239569]

Jaeger, W.K., A.J. Plantinga, H. Chang, K. Dello, G. Grant, D. Hulse, J. McDonnell, S. Lancaster, H. Moradkhani A.T. Morzillo, P. Mote, A. Nolin, M. Santelmann, J. Wu, 2013, Toward a formal definition of water scarcity in natural-human systems, Water Resour. Res., 49, 4506–4517, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20249.

Karin A. Bumbaco, Kathie D. Dello, and Nicholas A. Bond, 2013, History of Pacific Northwest Heat Waves: Synoptic Pattern and Trends, J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 1618–1631. doi:

Mauger, G. S., K. A. Bumbaco, G. J. Hakim, and P. W. Mote, 2013: Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations, Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst. Discuss., 3, 193-219, doi: 10.5194/ gid-3-193-2013.

Ashfaq, M., S. Ghosh, S.-C. Kao, L.C. Bowling, P. Mote, D. Touma, S.A. Rauscher, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2013: Nearterm acceleration of hydroclimatic change in the western U.S., J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, 10,676–10,693, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50816.

OCCRI Director Dr. Phil Mote is a co-author of the chapter Observations: the cryosphere. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Climate Change in the Northwest. Mote et al. 2013. Chapter 2 in Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for Our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities.

Rupp, D. E., J. T. Abatzoglou, K. C. Hegewisch, P. W. Mote. 2013. Evaluation of CMIP5 20th century climate simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres (118), 10,884-10,906, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50843.

Rupp, D. E., P. W. Mote, N. Massey, F. E. L. Otto, M. R. Allen. 2013. Human influence on the probability of low precipitation in the central USA in 2012. In: Peterson, T. C., P. A. Stott, S. Herring, M. Hoerling, eds., Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society (94), S2-S6,

Rupp, D. E., P. W. Mote, N. L. Bindoff, P. A. Stott, D. A. Robinson. 2013. Detection and attribution of observed changes in Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover, Journal of Climate (26), 6904-6914, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00563.1.


Rupp, D. E., P. W. Mote, N. Massey, C. J. Rye, R. Jones, M. R. Allen. 2012. Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable? In: Peterson, T. C., P. A. Stott, S. Herring, eds., Explaining extreme events of 2011 from a climate perspective, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (93), 1041-1067, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00021.1.

National Research Council 2012. Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future.  R.A. Dalrymple and A. Linn, eds., National Academy Press, 201pp.

OCCRI Faculty Research Assistant Kathie Dello, with assistance from IWW Cally Whitman, prepared a report for Oregon State University’s Institute for Water and Watersheds (IWW) entitled Water and Climate in the Pacific Northwest. 8/2012.

MacArthur, J., P. Mote, J. Ideker, M. Figliozzi, and M. Lee, 2012: Climate Change Impact Assessment for Surface Transportation in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska. Oregon Transp. Resrch and Ed. Consortium,  OTREC-RR-12-01.


Guidelines for constructing climate scenarios. Mote et al. 2011. EOS, Transactions.

OCCRI Faculty Research Assistant Kathie Dello co-authored an article entitled “Building Resiliency from Climate Impacts into Oregon Agricultural Systems: Strategies and Challenges” for the June 2011 (92:31) issue of “Rural Connections”, a publication of the Western Rural Development Center. See pp. 57-60.

Dr. Philip Mote, Director of OCCRI, co-authors an article entitled “Guidelines for Constructing Climate Scenarios” for the August 2, 2011 (92:31) issue of the American Geophysical Union’s periodical EOS.


Dello, K.D., and P.W. Mote, eds, 2010: Oregon Climate Assessment Report. COAS, OSU.